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Post by godotwaits on Oct 25, 2012 9:15:55 GMT -5
May be too soon to call, but since Yahoo, NBC and CNN are featuring it, east coast residents have some perilous storm fronts near our doorstep. Hurricane Sandy could make landfall from Delaware to NE. With a winter storm approaching from the West and a cold snap approaching from Canada all colliding. Also full moon high tides.
Keep an eye on your windsock Bruce.
Or maybe there's just a bunch of NOAA scientists just trying to stay out of prison.
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Post by brucemacneill on Oct 25, 2012 9:20:26 GMT -5
Last night there was one model bringing it in just north of me but this morning that's moved a little farther north into Delaware. Most of the models still take it farther out to sea and into New England or Canada. Still could get sloppy wet here and we're within the cone of uncertainty. Trust me, I'll be watching.
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Post by Supertramp78 on Oct 25, 2012 9:27:37 GMT -5
You guys be careful.
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Post by godotwaits on Oct 25, 2012 9:31:07 GMT -5
Thanks. It's possible we won't be holding anything but tricks and no treats by Holloween.
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Post by mccoyblues on Oct 25, 2012 9:31:51 GMT -5
All they've been talking about for the last 3 days is if this storm will affect the FLA-GA football game in Jacksonville on Saturday.
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Post by dickt on Oct 25, 2012 9:32:39 GMT -5
We're not even in the "watch" stage yet, let alone "warning" First I read about this was two days ago with one model saying up to two feet of snow could result in VA/MD/PA.
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Post by brucemacneill on Oct 25, 2012 10:52:06 GMT -5
We're not even in the "watch" stage yet, let alone "warning" First I read about this was two days ago with one model saying up to two feet of snow could result in VA/MD/PA. Yeah, this one went from nothing to "The Perfect Storm" really quickly. Glad I don't live in northern Virginia but my son and DIL are probably concerned in Fairfax. Could be interesting.
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Post by dradtke on Oct 25, 2012 11:11:46 GMT -5
That winter storm approaching from the West is on its way. I see snowflakes.
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Post by Doug on Oct 25, 2012 11:29:09 GMT -5
I think that might have something to do with it.
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Post by Chesapeake on Oct 25, 2012 12:52:15 GMT -5
A FB pal in Key Largo just posted that it's passing by them now - lights flickering.
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Post by majorminor on Oct 25, 2012 13:00:21 GMT -5
Fingerplucked just had an orgasm
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Post by Chesapeake on Oct 25, 2012 16:45:28 GMT -5
Experts sound alarm on Hurricane Sandy, likely to be worse than 1991 “Perfect Storm” By Jason Samenow Washington Post
Via NOAA: “Early in the morning on October 25, 2012, the Suomi NPP satellite passed over Hurricane Sandy after it made landfall over Cuba and Jamaica, capturing this highly detailed infrared imagery, showing areas of deep convection around the central eye.”As Hurricane Sandy whips the western Bahamas and models reach consensus that this storm is destined to slam the Mid-Atlantic and/or Northeast, many trusted sources in the weather community are voicing cause for concern and urging residents to begin preparing.
Reasons to be concerned...
1) Longevity
Jim Cisco, NOAA’s Hydrometeorological Prediction Center:“It’s almost a weeklong, five-day, six-day event. It’s going to be a widespread serious storm.” (via the Associated Press)
National Weather Service (NWS), Philadelphia: “The storm will be slow moving. This worsens the impact for coastal flooding as it will affect multiple high tide cycles.”
2) Lack of precedent
Brad Panovich, broadcast meteorologist, Charlotte: “It’s very rare to see a strong tropical system merge with such a strong winter like trough of low pressure. Throw in a full moon and the potential is there for a significant storm. This system is 1 part Hurricane, 1 part Nor’easter and 1 part Blizzard potentially. Impacts of all 3 types of storms are possible depending on location.
“For those on the coast don’t let the Category of the storm or whether it’s “just” a Nor’easter dictate your response. Your personal memories of previous storms are no use in this unique situation.”
Jim Cisco, NOAA’s Hydrometeorological Prediction Center: “We don’t have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting.” (via the Associated Press)
3) Potential for record flooding
NWS Philadelphia: “If the center of the storm makes landfall along the New Jersey or Delaware coast, record coastal flooding is possible [for DE and NJ beaches].”
4) Expanding area of strong winds
James Franklin, National Hurricane Center: “[Sandy] will get broader [when it makes landfall]. It won’t be as intense, but its effects will be spread over a very large area.” (via the Associated Press)
Dave Tolleris, Wxrisk.com: “In [the mid-Atlantic] winds could reach up to 75 miles per hour in gusts during the height of the storm which will be fairly prolonged.”
5) Inland snow potential
NOAA’s Hydrometeorological Prediction Center: “HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHWEST EDGE WHERE THE ONTINENTAL POLAR AIR RUSHES ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT LOWLANDS TO THE EAST”
Dave Tolleris, WxRisk.com: “The snowstorm potential here remains high especially in the elevation above 800 or 1000 feet. It is still too early to know which portion of the interior Middle Atlantic mountain areas are going to see the heavy snow but somebody is gonna get really crushed with an early season snowfall.”
6) Potentially worse than 1991 Perfect Storm, that struck 21 years ago
Background on Perfect Storm, Will Komaromi, researcher University of Miami: “Something similar [to Sandy] happened in late October through early November 1991. It was known as “the Perfect Storm”, resulting in 13 fatalities and caused > $200 million in damages to the northeastern U.S. and fishing and shipping interests. In the Perfect Storm, northward-moving Hurricane Grace phased with a mid-latitude trough, similar to the one over the Central U.S. today. . . .
“The Perfect Storm deepened to 972 mb...”
Why Sandy could be more powerful, Will Komaromi: “Most of the models now indicate even stronger jet dynamics will occur next week than occurred during for the Perfect Storm, and that today’s storm could potentially deepen to well below 960 mb or even below 950 mb. The fact that the Gulf Stream is anomalously warm for this time of year means that Sandy will weaken less as a tropical system...”
Sandy will be worse, Jeff Masters: “The Perfect Storm only did $200 million of damage and I’m thinking a billion.Yeah, it will be worse.”(via the Associated Press)
7) Some good advice
National Weather Service, Philadelphia: “Leaves! There a lot of leaves on the ground. Leaves are excellent material to clog/block storm drains, worsening local/neighborhood flooding. Get leaves and any other obstructing materials away from storm drains before this storm arrives.”
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Post by godotwaits on Oct 26, 2012 6:03:32 GMT -5
Well. It looks as though Sandy is going to be our October surprise.
Fat cat Romney: "Wellll... this is another fine mess you got US into..."
Lean cat Obama: "Well.. Ollie...!"
But don't you worry about us eastern seaboard intellectual types. Maybe the Yale boathouse will let loose some cigar length scows and we'll be rowing about singing....
Everyone!!.. "Who's afraid of the big bad wolf? The big bad wolf. The big bad wolf..."
Go ahead and gloat you drought ridden bastards. We're about to pay for our tomato rich harvest. What goes around comes around.
Maybe some us should exchange phone numbers. I got a feeling there's gonna be a long period of 'radio silence.'
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Post by brucemacneill on Oct 26, 2012 7:19:34 GMT -5
Guess I'll get another can of gas for the generator, charge the cell phone, whatever else I can think of, oh yeah food. At least, being agnostic, it's still OK to pray just as a hedge. Good luck. Looks like whichever way it goes we'll get something to worry about.
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Post by Resolve on Oct 26, 2012 9:22:07 GMT -5
Scary stuff. Keep yer eyes peeled.
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Post by brucemacneill on Oct 26, 2012 9:29:37 GMT -5
It occurred to me that the escape route from here is north but the storm is supposed to pass to the north so where would I go if I wanted to go? Guess I'll stay put.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 26, 2012 9:40:50 GMT -5
I was reading how all those different factors coming together in one meteorological drama make this a "Frankenstorm"
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Post by Chesapeake on Oct 26, 2012 10:33:17 GMT -5
News flash. Obama just blamed it on Bush.
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Post by billhammond on Oct 26, 2012 10:35:57 GMT -5
News flash. Obama just blamed it on Bush. Looks like Don has made up his mind who to vote for.
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Post by sekhmet on Oct 26, 2012 10:37:50 GMT -5
And Romney just blamed it on Obama. heh.
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